Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 1998

Tasmania

The ALP garnered a statewide swing of 5.74%, a performance surpassed only in Queensland and the ACT. It's two-party-preferred vote of 57.32% gives it a comfortable margin going into the 2001 election.

Bass remains the most volatile electorate in Tasmania. It was won by the Liberal Party's Warwick Smith in 1990, the ALP's Silvia Smith in 1993, regained by Warwick Smith in 1996 and lost to the ALP's Michelle O'Byrne in 1998.

Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 1998 House of Representatives - Tasmania
No.	Electorate	% Swing To ALP From 1996	ALP	Coalition	% Swing Required To Lose In 2001
1	Bass	4.63	50.06	49.94	0.06
2	Braddon	10.02	54.33	45.67	4.33
3	Denison	2.72	64.51	35.49	14.51
4	Franklin	1.92	56.60	43.40	6.60
5	Lyons	9.30	60.61	39.39	10.61
TOTAL		5.74	57.32	42.68

Source: Australian Electoral Commission publications

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