Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 1998

New South Wales

Going into the 1998 election, the ALP held 20 of the 50 electorates. Despite securing a two-party swing of 4.11% in 1998, the ALP gained only an additional 2 seats (Lowe and Paterson) from the Liberal Party. This is a long way from the ALP's high point of 33 seats in 1993.

The ALP two-party-preferred vote in NSW was 51.54%. With Victoria polling 53.53%, the nation's two largest States (with 59%, or 87 of 148 House seats) preferred the ALP, but delivered less than half the seats in those States.

As in the other States, the swing to the ALP was concentrated more in seats the ALP already held, increasing its existing majorities without delivering extra seats in the House.

A feature of the NSW results was the success of Peter Andren, the independent member for Calare, who polled 40.55% of the primary vote and won easily on preferences.

The election in Newcastle was delayed until November 21, 1998, following the death of the Australian Democrats candidate the day before the general election. The Liberal Party did not stand a candidate at the supplementary election, so the two-party figure matches the ALP against the Greens.

There are now 6 coalition seats on margins under 3% going into the 2001 election: Eden-Monaro, Lindsay, Page, Parramatta, Richmond and Robertson.

Two-Party-Preferred Statistics 1998 House of Representatives - New South Wales
No.	Electorate	% Swing To ALP From 1996	ALP	Coalition	% Swing Required To Lose In 2001
1	Banks	5.70	57.11	42.89	7.11
2	Barton	5.42	59.76	40.24	9.76
3	Bennelong	4.10	43.97	56.03	6.03
4	Berowra	4.88	36.48	63.52	13.52
5	Blaxland	9.08	72.06	27.94	22.06
6	Bradfield	2.56	26.80	73.20	23.20
7	Calare	-0.31	46.79	53.21	3.21
8	Charlton	3.65	62.97	37.03	12.97
9	Chifley	6.36	70.89	29.11	20.89
10	Cook	3.34	41.06	58.94	8.94
11	Cowper	5.20	43.64	56.36	6.36
12	Cunningham	5.29	68.20	31.80	18.20
13	Dobell	3.27	53.35	46.65	3.35
14	Eden-Monaro	4.58	49.82	50.18	0.18
15	Farrer	6.61	35.38	64.62	14.62
16	Fowler	8.06	76.33	23.67	26.33
17	Gilmore	2.20	45.96	54.04	4.04
18	Grayndler	5.95	72.32	27.68	22.32
19	Greenway	6.55	59.94	40.06	19.94
20	Gwydir	4.93	36.42	63.58	13.58
21	Hughes	-0.63	44.48	55.52	5.52
22	Hume	3.71	41.94	58.06	8.06
23	Hunter	7.73	64.69	35.31	14.69
24	Kingsford-Smith	3.26	63.40	36.60	13.40
25	Lindsay	0.30	48.72	51.28	1.28
26	Lowe	7.09	54.63	45.37	4.63
27	Lyne	5.71	40.28	59.72	9.72
28	Macarthur	5.06	44.37	55.63	5.63
29	Mackellar	0.88	34.36	65.64	15.64
30	Macquarie	2.26	45.90	54.10	4.10
31	Mitchell	4.47	30.15	69.85	19.85
32	Newcastle	6.14	67.33	32.67 Green	17.33
33	New England	6.25	37.07	62.93	12.93
34	North Sydney	3.34	37.78	62.22	12.22
35	Page	1.95	47.64	52.36	2.36
36	Parkes	2.39	45.89	54.11	4.11
37	Parramatta	2.80	48.93	51.07	1.07
38	Paterson	1.65	51.22	48.78	1.22
39	Prospect	5.81	69.71	30.29	19.71
40	Reid	10.26	71.64	28.36	21.64
41	Richmond	5.98	49.23	50.77	0.77
42	Riverina	5.71	34.70	65.30	15.30
43	Robertson	1.56	47.99	52.01	2.01
44	Shortland	4.66	62.81	37.19	12.81
45	Sydney	3.09	66.89	33.11	16.89
46	Throsby	2.84	72.46	27.54	22.46
47	Warringah	2.33	37.02	62.98	12.98
48	Watson	5.79	67.47	32.53	17.47
49	Wentworth	1.51	43.68	56.32	6.32
50	Werriwa	6.46	62.67	37.33	12.67
TOTAL		4.11	51.54	48.46

Source: Australian Electoral Commission publications

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